The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 54.1% of the two-party vote share in Wisconsin, whereas Trump will win 45.9%. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to collect only 53.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models often incorporate large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 54.0% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Wisconsin.