Wisconsin: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 54.1% of the two-party vote share in Wisconsin, whereas Trump will win 45.9%. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to collect only 53.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often incorporate large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 54.0% of the two-party vote in Wisconsin. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Wisconsin.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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