PPP (D) published the results of a new poll. In this poll, respondents from West Virginia were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.
PPP (D) poll results
The results show that 30.0% of participants intend to vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 57.0% intend to vote for real estate developer Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted from April 29 to May 1 with 1201 likely voters. The margin of error is +/-2.8 points. This means that the poll results for the Republican and the Democratic candidate differ significantly.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls often include substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
For the following analysis, we translate the candidates' raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. This procedure yields values of 34.5% for Clinton and 65.5% for Trump.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 61.7% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. That is, the combined PollyVote is 3.8 points below his polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus outside the poll's error margin.