West Virginia: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 33.3% for Clinton, and 66.7% for Trump in West Virginia.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, don't rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 61.5% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 5.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in West Virginia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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