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Utah: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 37.3% for Clinton, and 62.8% for Trump in Utah. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to collect 37.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, you should not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 59.2% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 3.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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