The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 63.0% of the two-party vote share in Rhode Island, while Trump will win 37.0%. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to collect only 62.5% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be interpreted with caution, since they can contain substantial biases. Instead of relying on results from single models, forecasting research recommends to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 61.0% of the two-party vote in Rhode Island. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.