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New Mexico: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 55.6% for Clinton, and 44.4% for Trump in New Mexico. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to end up with 56.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, one should not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 56.3% of the two-party vote in New Mexico. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.7 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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