Hit enter after type your search item

Latest The Simon Poll/SIU*The Simon Poll/SIU* poll in Illinois: Clinton with whopping lead


The Simon Poll/SIUThe Simon Poll/SIU released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Illinois were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.

The Simon Poll/SIUThe Simon Poll/SIU poll results




According to the results, 53.0% of respondents plan to cast a ballot for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 28.0% are going to vote for billionaire Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from September 27 to October 2 with 865 likely voters. Taking into account the poll's margin of error of +/-3.3 percentage points, the difference in voter support is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

Single polls may incorporate substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. At least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

To make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, we convert them into two-party vote shares. This procedure yields values of 65.4% for Clinton and 34.6% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

Looking at an average of Illinois polls, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 59.2%. This value is 6.2 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the The Simon Poll/SIUThe Simon Poll/SIU poll. This difference is outside the poll's margin of error, which means that the poll is an outlier.

The poll compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 60.0% of the two-party vote in Illinois. This means that the combined PollyVote is 5.4 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore outside the poll's margin of error.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

This div height required for enabling the sticky sidebar