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DeSart & Holbrook model in Kentucky: Trump is in the lead


The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 39.4% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, while Trump will end up with 60.6%. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to win 39.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models can incorporate substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 61.0% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Kentucky.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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