DeSart model in Kansas: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 36.0% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, whereas Trump will end up with 64.0%.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be regarded with caution, because they often incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 56.9% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 7.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.