Jerome model in Washington, D.C.: Clinton is in the lead
The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 86.6% for Clinton, and 13.4% for Trump in Washington, D.C..
Putting the results in context
Individual models may include substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 89.0% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 2.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Washington, D.C..