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Idaho: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 34.1% of the two-party vote share in Idaho, while Trump will win 65.9%. In comparison, on October 22, Clinton was predicted to collect only 34.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, don't rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 64.1% of the two-party vote in Idaho. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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