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DeSart model in Hawaii: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 70.1% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, whereas Trump will end up with 29.9%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they can contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 69.6% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 0.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Hawaii.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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