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Vermont: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 68.7% for Clinton, and 31.3% for Trump in Vermont. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to achieve 69.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be interpreted with caution, since they often contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 66.9% of the two-party vote in Vermont. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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