The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 41.1% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, while Trump will end up with 59.0%. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to win only 40.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they can contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 57.1% of the two-party vote in Kansas. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kansas.