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Kansas: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 41.1% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, while Trump will end up with 59.0%. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to win only 40.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they can contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote expects Trump to gain 57.1% of the two-party vote in Kansas. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kansas.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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