Hit enter after type your search item

DeSart & Holbrook model in Hawaii: Clinton is in the lead

/
/
/
3 Views

The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 68.1% for Clinton, and 31.9% for Trump in Hawaii. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was predicted to collect 31.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, we recommend to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 69.6% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Hawaii.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

This div height required for enabling the sticky sidebar