DeSart & Holbrook model in Washington: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 57.8% for Clinton, and 42.2% for Trump in Washington. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was predicted to collect 41.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, you should not put too much trust in the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 58.6% of the two-party vote in Washington. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.8 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Washington.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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