Hit enter after type your search item

DeSart & Holbrook model in South Carolina: Trump is in the lead

/
/
/
2 Views

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated forecast of the election result. It currently predicts a major vote share of 43.3% for Clinton, and 56.7% for Trump in South Carolina. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was predicted to gain 56.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, you should not be overly confident the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy rely on combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote expects Trump to gain 54.6% of the two-party vote in South Carolina. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 2.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in South Carolina.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

This div height required for enabling the sticky sidebar