The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently predicts a major vote share of 54.3% for Clinton, and 45.7% for Trump in Pennsylvania. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to achieve 54.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, because they may incorporate substantial biases. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.
The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 54.2% of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.