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DeSart & Holbrook model in Oregon: Clinton is in the lead


The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 56.2% for Clinton, and 43.9% for Trump in Oregon. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to collect only 56.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be interpreted with caution, as they can include substantial errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 57.0% of the two-party vote in Oregon. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.8 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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