DeSart & Holbrook model in Oklahoma: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 35.7% for Clinton, and 64.3% for Trump in Oklahoma. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 34.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, one should not rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, you should rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which relies on different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 62.7% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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