Hit enter after type your search item

DeSart & Holbrook model in Ohio: Clinton is in the lead

/
/
/
15 Views

The DeSart & Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 51.2% for Clinton, and 48.8% for Trump in Ohio. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to achieve 51.2% of the vote.

In Ohio, the popular vote is often close. Therefore, the state is commonly considered a swing state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

Putting the results in context

Individual models often contain substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 50.8% of the two-party vote in Ohio. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.4 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Ohio.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

This div height required for enabling the sticky sidebar