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DeSart & Holbrook model in Nevada: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 52.2% of the two-party vote share in Nevada, while Trump will end up with 47.8%. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was predicted to achieve 47.6% of the vote.

Historically, Nevada has been a swing state, in which neither the Republican Party nor the Democratic Party has had overwhelming support to secure that state's electoral college votes. This is why predictions here are of particular importance.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be treated with caution, as they may incorporate large biases. Rather than trusting the results from single models, forecasting research recommends to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 52.6% of the two-party vote in Nevada. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.4 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Nevada.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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