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DeSart & Holbrook model in Nebraska: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 38.9% for Clinton, and 61.1% for Trump in Nebraska. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was predicted to gain 61.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, don't have too much confidence in the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 59.9% of the two-party vote in Nebraska. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 1.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Nebraska.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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