The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will collect 42.0% of the two-party vote share in Montana, while Trump will end up with 58.0%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may include large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 56.3% of the two-party vote in Montana. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 1.7 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.