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DeSart & Holbrook model in Missouri: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 46.3% of the two-party vote share in Missouri, while Trump will win 53.7%. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to collect 47.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they can incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 53.6% of the two-party vote in Missouri. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 0.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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