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DeSart & Holbrook model in Minnesota: Clinton is in the lead


The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 54.1% of the two-party vote share in Minnesota, while Trump will end up with 46.0%. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was still predicted to win 46.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models may include substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 55.4% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 1.3 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Minnesota.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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