DeSart & Holbrook model in Massachusetts: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. It currently predicts a major vote share of 65.3% for Clinton, and 34.7% for Trump in Massachusetts. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was predicted to achieve 33.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, because they can include large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, we recommend to use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 64.5% of the two-party vote in Massachusetts. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.8 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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