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DeSart & Holbrook model in Maryland: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 63.0% for Clinton, and 37.0% for Trump in Maryland. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was still predicted to collect 37.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not put too much trust in the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of trusting the results from single models, you should use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 65.6% of the two-party vote in Maryland. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 2.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Maryland.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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