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DeSart & Holbrook model in Maine: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 57.5% of the two-party vote share in Maine, whereas Trump will end up with 42.5%. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to win only 57.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they may incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 55.4% of the two-party vote in Maine. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 2.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Maine.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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