DeSart & Holbrook model in Delaware: Clinton is in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 58.7% of the two-party vote share in Delaware, whereas Trump will end up with 41.3%. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to end up with 58.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they may contain large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 59.8% of the two-party vote in Delaware. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.