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DeSart & Holbrook model in Delaware: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 58.7% of the two-party vote share in Delaware, whereas Trump will end up with 41.3%. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to end up with 58.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they may contain large errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 59.8% of the two-party vote in Delaware. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.1 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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