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DeSart & Holbrook model in Connecticut: Clinton is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will garner 59.1% of the two-party vote share in Connecticut, whereas Trump will win 40.9%. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was still predicted to garner 41.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, a good strategy is to not put too much trust in the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 59.7% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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