Arizona: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 42.7% of the two-party vote share in Arizona, whereas Trump will win 57.3%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can contain substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 51.3% of the two-party vote in Arizona. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 6.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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