The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 42.7% of the two-party vote share in Arizona, whereas Trump will win 57.3%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models can contain substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 51.3% of the two-party vote in Arizona. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 6.0 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.