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DeSart & Holbrook model in Alaska: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 42.7% for Clinton, and 57.3% for Trump in Alaska. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was predicted to collect 56.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, as they can include substantial errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 56.5% of the two-party vote in Alaska. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Alaska.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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