The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 39.5% of the two-party vote share in Alabama, whereas Trump will win 60.5%. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 39.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, since they can include substantial errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 60.0% of the two-party vote in Alabama. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Alabama.