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DeSart & Holbrook model in Alabama: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 39.5% of the two-party vote share in Alabama, whereas Trump will win 60.5%. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 39.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, since they can include substantial errors. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 60.0% of the two-party vote in Alabama. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 0.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Alabama.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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