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Colorado: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 53.2% for Clinton, and 46.8% for Trump in Colorado. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to win 53.3% of the vote.

In Colorado, the popular vote is usually close. Therefore, the state is commonly viewed as a battleground state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be interpreted with caution, because they may contain substantial errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 55.1% of the two-party vote in Colorado. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.9 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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