The DeSart & Holbrook model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently predicts a major vote share of 53.2% for Clinton, and 46.8% for Trump in Colorado. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to win 53.3% of the vote.
In Colorado, the popular vote is usually close. Therefore, the state is commonly viewed as a battleground state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be interpreted with caution, because they may contain substantial errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.
The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 55.1% of the two-party vote in Colorado. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 1.9 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.