West Virginia: Overwhelming advantage for Trump in PPP (D) poll

PPP (D) published the results of a new poll. In this poll, respondents from West Virginia were asked for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.

Of those who answered the question, 30.0% said that they will vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 57.0% declared that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out between April 29 and May 1. The sample size was 1201 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-2.8 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls may include large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single polls, you should rely on combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, you can translate them into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure results in figures of 34.5% for Clinton and 65.5% for Trump.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 61.7% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. That is, Polly's prediction is 3.8 points below his polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus outside the poll's margin of error.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.