PPP (D) published the results of a new poll. In this poll, respondents from West Virginia were asked for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.
PPP (D) poll results
Of those who answered the question, 30.0% said that they will vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 57.0% declared that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.
The poll was carried out between April 29 and May 1. The sample size was 1201 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-2.8 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls may include large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single polls, you should rely on combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, you can translate them into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure results in figures of 34.5% for Clinton and 65.5% for Trump.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 61.7% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. That is, Polly's prediction is 3.8 points below his polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus outside the poll's margin of error.