Emerson released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Connecticut were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.
Emerson poll results
According to the results, 50.0% of interviewees will cast a ballot for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 35.0% are going to vote for real estate developer Donald Trump.
The poll was carried out from September 2 to September 5 with 1000 likely voters. If one accounts for the poll's sampling error of +/-3.0 percentage points, the difference between both candidates is statistically significant.
Putting the results in context
Single polls may include substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, you can convert them into two-party vote shares. This procedure results in values of 58.8% for Clinton and 41.2% for Trump.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 59.6% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. This means that the PollyVote is 0.8 points above her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus within the poll's error margin.