The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 35.5% of the two-party vote share in Utah, while Trump will end up with 64.5%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may incorporate substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. Instead of relying on results from single models, you should rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
The Jerome model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 59.4% of the two-party vote in Utah. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 5.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.