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Jerome model in Arizona: Trump is in the lead


The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 42.8% of the two-party vote share in Arizona, while Trump will end up with 57.2%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be treated with caution, since they can include large errors. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 51.3% of the two-party vote in Arizona. The results of the Jerome model for Trump are thus 5.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Arizona.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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