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Clinton leads in Maryland by 29 points in latest OpinionWorks poll

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OpinionWorks published the results of a new poll. In this poll, participants from Maryland were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.

OpinionWorks poll results
54

Clinton

25

Trump

The results show that 54.0% of participants would cast a ballot for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 25.0% would cast a ballot for billionaire Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out between August 18 and August 30. The sample size was 754 likely voters. The margin of error is +/-3.6 points, which means that the levels of voter support for the Democratic and the Republican candidate differ significantly.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls should be treated with caution, since they may incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following comparison, we translate the candidates' raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. The corresponding figures are 68.4% for Clinton and 31.7% for Trump.

Results vs. other polls

An average of recent polls in Maryland sees Clinton at 69.5% of the two-party vote. Relative to her numbers in the OpinionWorks poll Clinton's poll average is 1.1 percentage points higher. This margin is within the poll's margin of error, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier.

The poll in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 65.6% of the two-party vote in Maryland. This means that the combined PollyVote is 2.8 points below her polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's error margin reveals that this difference is insignificant.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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