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Clinton leads in California by 26 points in latest KABC/SurveyUSA poll

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Results of a new poll administered by KABC/SurveyUSA were released. The poll asked interviewees from California for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.

KABC/SurveyUSA poll results
56

Clinton

30

Trump

According to the results, 56.0% of respondents are going to give their vote to former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 30.0% are going to vote for businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from October 13 to October 15. A total of 725 likely voters responded. Considering the poll's error margin of +/-3.7 percentage points, the spread between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls should be regarded with caution, because they can incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following comparison, we convert Clinton's and Trump's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. The respective figures are 65.1% for Clinton and 34.9% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

Clinton currently achieves 62.0% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent polls in California. This value is 3.2 percentage points lower than her corresponding numbers in the KABC/SurveyUSA poll. This margin is within the poll's error margin, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 62.0% of the two-party vote in California. This means that Polly's combined forecast is 3.1 points below her polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's error margin suggests that this difference is insignificant.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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