The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 42.8% for Clinton, and 57.2% for Trump in Arizona.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, as they often include large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the recommended strategy consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 51.3% of the two-party vote in Arizona. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 5.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the Jerome model.