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West Virginia: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 33.3% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, while Trump will end up with 66.7%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, as they sometimes contain large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, forecasting research recommends to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 61.7% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 5.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in West Virginia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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