PPP (D) published the results of a new poll. In this poll, interviewees from West Virginia were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.
PPP (D) poll results
Of those who answered the question, 30.0% said that they plan to vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 57.0% revealed that they would give their vote to real estate developer Donald Trump.
The poll was carried out from April 29 to May 1 among 1201 likely voters. The margin of error is +/-2.8 points, which means that the levels of voter support for Trump and Clinton differ significantly.
Putting the results in context
Single polls should be treated with caution, because they often contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single polls, you should look at combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
To make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, you can translate them into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure yields values of 34.5% for Clinton and 65.5% for Trump.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 61.7% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. Hence, the PollyVote is 3.8 points below his polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus outside the poll's margin of error.