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Washington: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead


The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 58.1% of the two-party vote share in Washington, whereas Trump will win 41.9%. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to gain 58.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be interpreted with caution, because they can incorporate large biases. Instead of trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 58.6% of the two-party vote in Washington. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Washington.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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