The DeSart & Holbrook model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will collect 58.1% of the two-party vote share in Washington, whereas Trump will win 41.9%. In comparison, on October 20, Clinton was predicted to gain 58.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, because they can incorporate large biases. Instead of trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 58.6% of the two-party vote in Washington. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Clinton are thus 0.5 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Washington.