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Washington, D.C.: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election result. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 86.6% for Clinton, and 13.4% for Trump in Washington, D.C..

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they may contain large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single models, research in forecasting recommends to consult combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 88.3% of the two-party vote in Washington, D.C.. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 1.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote in Washington, D.C..

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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