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Vox.Com model shows Trump in the lead


The Vox.Com model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 49.1% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will win 50.9%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, because they sometimes contain large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, you should rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

Trump is currently at 50.0% of the two-party vote in an average of recent econometric models. In comparison to numbers in the Vox.Com model Trump's econometric model average is 0.9 percentage points lower.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 46.1% of the two-party vote. The results of the Vox.Com model for Trump are thus 4.8 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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