The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 66.5% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, whereas Trump will end up with 33.5%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may incorporate large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to rely on combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 67.1% of the two-party vote in Vermont. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart model.