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Oregon: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart & Holbrook model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 56.1% for Clinton, and 43.9% for Trump in Oregon. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was still predicted to garner 44.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, don't rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 57.0% of the two-party vote in Oregon. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.9 percentage points more compared to the results of the DeSart & Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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