Oklahoma: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead
The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 34.1% for Clinton, and 65.9% for Trump in Oklahoma. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was predicted to achieve 65.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be regarded with caution, since they can include substantial errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 63.0% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 2.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Oklahoma.