Oklahoma: DeSart & Holbrook model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart & Holbrook model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 34.1% for Clinton, and 65.9% for Trump in Oklahoma. In comparison, on October 20 Trump was predicted to achieve 65.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be regarded with caution, since they can include substantial errors. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart & Holbrook model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 63.0% of the two-party vote in Oklahoma. The results of the DeSart & Holbrook model for Trump are thus 2.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Oklahoma.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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